According to @lookonchain, two newly created wallets named goldbless and Getthegoop spent a combined $23,000 betting on the Polymarket contract titled Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026, with activity tied to polymarket.com/0x3e54b40e183b6d4b213006c20e38ee578500a908 and polymarket.com/0xa06aa60f30abfbee09c8b5b32d4da64e1f5ee5a9; source: Lookonchain on X, Jan 9, 2026. This on-chain allocation is concentrated in a single geopolitical binary market and can be verified via the referenced Polymarket contract pages and the cited wallet identifiers; source: Lookonchain on X, Jan 9, 2026, and Polymarket pages above.

According to the source, Polymarket’s January Federal Reserve decision market is pricing an 87% chance that the Fed will not lower interest rates in January, based on live pricing on Polymarket (source: Polymarket). The implied probability is derived from prediction market prices and updates in real time as participants trade, providing a market-based gauge that crypto traders can monitor when assessing BTC and ETH positioning (source: Polymarket).

According to Watcher.Guru, MetaMask plans to integrate the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, described as the world's largest in the category (source: Watcher.Guru on X, Oct 14, 2025). The post does not include a launch date, product scope, or technical details of the integration, leaving timing and feature depth unconfirmed for traders (source: Watcher.Guru on X, Oct 14, 2025). From a trading perspective, treat this as unconfirmed until MetaMask or Polymarket publish official announcements or documentation, and avoid taking positions solely on the headline until specifics are released (source: Watcher.Guru on X, Oct 14, 2025).